Global truck market in the futu

The commercial vehicle industry is currently experiencing very strong growth and solid profits after a couple of rather difficult years. As the next downturn is inevitable, all industry players are both satisfying acute market demand as well as constantly improving and securing their long-term competitiveness. Technological developments, changes in value chain structures, and supplier markets need to be closely monitored and appropriate action needs to be taken.Value chain structures in the passenger car have significantly changed over the last decade. These changes and future developments have been analyzed in numerous studies. Such studies on the commercial vehicle industry are so far lacking.

In order to eliminate this "blind spot", Arthur D. Little has decided to conduct a so-called Delphi study "The Future of Trucks", focussing on the heavy duty commercial vehicle industry.

The main findings regarding key topics such as markets and competitors, technology, OEM core competencies, value chain structures, and OEM-supplier cooperation are summarized on the following pages.

Market and Competitors

After strong growth in recent years the global market for heavy commercial vehicles > 6t will stagnate until 2010; more than half of the trucks are produced in emerging markets (China, South America and Eastern Europe)

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